Grateful-Attention
0x253c490c269726686d8da8426e73e58c8618d353
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$57.22
Total PnL
$-77.71
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?
599 shares @ 2.6¢·now 2.9¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$17.67
$1.88
- YES
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
282 shares @ 3.6¢·now 5.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$15.92
$5.77
- YES
Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
38 shares @ 26.0¢·now 30.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$11.51
$1.70
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
7 shares @ 76.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$6.54
$1.57
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
6 shares @ 89.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$5.59
$0.61
- YES
Will Jordan Wood be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?
6667 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$0.00
$-13.33
- YES
Will Alexis Hill win the 2026 Nevada Governor Democratic primary election?
169 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$0.00
$-10.13
- YES
Will Juan Manuel Galán win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
117 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-0.47
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
72 shares @ 6.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-4.39
- YES
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.6T and $1.8T at market close on IPO day?
62 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.00
$-9.97
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 29, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 28, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 27, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 26, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 25, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 24, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 23, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 22, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 20, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 19, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 18, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 17, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 16, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 15, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 14, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 12, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 11, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 10, 00:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 10, 00:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.