Close-Alteration
0x253dd82a89775fe59b3672229441eee4c4c39b6e
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-19.08
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?
2140 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-4.28
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 27?
1500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 10?
1400 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$0.00
$-2.80
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?
800 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.60
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on February 12?
600 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.40
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $116,000 and $118,000 on October 23?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on November 25?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on June 1?$87.98Jun 1, 19:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on June 1?$87.90Jun 1, 08:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$1.12May 31, 21:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$1.23May 30, 07:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?$85.09May 29, 18:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?$85.00May 29, 09:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 740-759 tweets in May 2026?$85.08May 28, 14:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 740-759 tweets in May 2026?$85.00May 26, 08:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 20?$85.09May 20, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 20?$85.01May 20, 03:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$85.08May 18, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$85.00May 16, 05:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$85.08May 15, 19:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$85.00May 13, 03:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on May 12?$85.08May 12, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on May 12?$85.01May 10, 10:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$1.12May 10, 10:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$1.23May 10, 10:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$87.09May 10, 10:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$87.00May 7, 03:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $60.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 24, 09:27 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 1, 19:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".