Knowing-Check
0x253e68fa97a94262c58015902f0ba44a85b84cc5
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$11.33
Total PnL
$-0.28
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on May 17?
30 shares @ 3.3¢·now 7.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$2.13
$1.13
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 17?
42 shares @ 2.4¢·now 4.5¢·exp May 17, 2026$1.89
$0.89
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on May 17?
11 shares @ 9.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp May 17, 2026$1.83
$0.83
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 17?
6 shares @ 18.0¢·now 27.5¢·exp May 17, 2026$1.53
$0.53
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on May 17?
14 shares @ 7.4¢·now 8.3¢·exp May 17, 2026$1.13
$0.13
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on May 17?
4 shares @ 27.0¢·now 28.5¢·exp May 17, 2026$1.06
$0.06
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 17?
136 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.8¢·exp May 17, 2026$1.02
$0.02
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 17?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.3¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 27°C or below on May 17?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.25
$-0.75
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET
261 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-2.61
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on May 17?$1.04May 15, 21:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 17?$1.04May 15, 21:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on May 17?$1.05May 15, 21:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 17?$1.05May 15, 21:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on May 17?$1.05May 15, 21:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 17?$1.05May 15, 21:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 17?$1.05May 15, 21:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on May 17?$1.05May 15, 21:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 27°C or below on May 17?$1.05May 15, 21:28 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET$0.00May 4, 19:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET$1.02May 4, 19:14 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET$1.06May 4, 19:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET$1.03May 4, 19:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET$2.81Apr 3, 15:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?$0.00Apr 2, 22:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?$3.82Apr 2, 21:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?$1.00Mar 24, 23:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $1.17
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 24, 23:32 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 21:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".