Personal-Bonfire
0x253eb19ca0ed878748cdc65484767312d42f0fe6
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-105.00
Realised
$-3.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Will 'Joker: Folie à Deux' gross between $135-150m opening weekend?
1000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 7, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will 'Joker: Folie à Deux' gross more than $150m opening weekend?
787 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 7, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will 'Joker: Folie à Deux' gross between $120-135m opening weekend?
682 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 7, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will 'Joker: Folie à Deux' gross between $105-120m opening weekend?
292 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 7, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will 'Deadpool 3' gross most in 2024?
286 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Kamala speak at Bitcoin conference?
172 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2024$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will 'The Wild Robot' gross less than $24m opening weekend?
151 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2024$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Will Trump mention $MAGA before Election?
143 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will 'Joker: Folie à Deux' gross less than $105m opening weekend?
130 shares @ 5.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 7, 2024$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Henry Cavill announced as next James Bond?
106 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLAaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond?$20.44Nov 18, 09:58 UTC
- TRADESELLNo change in Fed interest rates after 2024 November meeting?$15.21Oct 11, 06:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Pennsylvania rally?$2.00Oct 5, 11:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana above $155 on October 4?$2.00Oct 3, 01:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum above $2,600 on October 4?$2.00Oct 3, 01:47 UTC
- TRADESELLEigenlayer market cap (FDV) between $20-25b one day after launch?$0.20Oct 2, 01:36 UTC
- TRADESELLEigenlayer market cap (FDV) between $15-20b one day after launch?$0.25Oct 2, 01:35 UTC
- TRADESELLEigenlayer airdrop by September 30?$78.00Sep 28, 06:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYHenry Cavill announced as next James Bond?$5.00Sep 27, 02:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYAaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond?$20.00Sep 27, 02:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after 2024 November meeting?$5.00Sep 27, 01:32 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana above $150 on September 27?$23.57Sep 27, 01:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'The Wild Robot' gross less than $24m opening weekend?$8.00Sep 25, 02:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'Deadpool 3' gross most in 2024?$10.00Sep 25, 02:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'Joker: Folie à Deux' gross less than $105m opening weekend?$7.00Sep 25, 02:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 'Joker: Folie à Deux' gross between $135-150m opening weekend?$7.00Sep 25, 02:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'Joker: Folie à Deux' gross between $135-150m opening weekend?$10.00Sep 25, 02:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'Joker: Folie à Deux' gross more than $150m opening weekend?$10.00Sep 25, 02:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'Joker: Folie à Deux' gross between $135-150m opening weekend?$10.00Sep 25, 02:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'Joker: Folie à Deux' gross between $120-135m opening weekend?$10.00Sep 25, 02:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $10.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 24, 22:52 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 18, 09:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".