0x2552ffb7e6027aeac59cf191c8f8db8af10d1676
0x2552ffb7e6027aeac59cf191c8f8db8af10d1676
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$12.19
Total PnL
$1.42
Realised
$4.39
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-10?
8 shares @ 61.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$8.03
$3.13
- YES
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-04-26?
4 shares @ 70.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$4.16
$1.25
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
45 shares @ 10.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.90
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
15 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.45
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-04-26?$0.00Apr 28, 22:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-10?$0.00Apr 28, 19:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-04-26?$0.00Apr 28, 19:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-04-26?$0.00Apr 28, 19:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-10?$0.00Apr 28, 19:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-04-26?$0.00Apr 28, 19:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-04-26?$0.00Apr 28, 19:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-04-26?$2.94Apr 26, 13:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$2.45Apr 26, 13:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-10?$0.00Apr 12, 09:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?$7.53Apr 8, 19:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?$4.59Mar 31, 19:53 UTC
- TRADESELLPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?$4.08Mar 31, 19:50 UTC
- TRADESELLKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?$0.16Mar 31, 19:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?$0.17Mar 31, 19:48 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine hits Moscow by March 31, 2026?$0.11Mar 31, 19:47 UTC
- TRADESELL Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?$0.03Mar 31, 19:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-10?$0.00Mar 31, 19:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-10?$0.00Mar 31, 19:47 UTC
- TRADESELLIran leadership change by March 31?$0.13Mar 31, 19:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
25 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 62/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $4.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 1, 11:24 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 28, 22:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.