Early-Stress
0x2566408174a5054a81a3e8dcb2d85d105d662f38
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
46
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-337.62
Realised
$-17.37
Win rate
67%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 46- NO
Will the government shutdown last 3 days or more?
5891 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?
667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - February 5, 10AM ET
533 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$0.00
$-21.90
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET
341 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-7.63
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 31 to February 2, 2026?
337 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-14.07
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?
275 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - February 6, 8AM ET
265 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-3.91
- NO
Will "Super Bowl" be said at the Grammys?
262 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.31
- NO
Will the government shutdown last 4 days or more?
200 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 9PM ET$9.20Feb 15, 02:04 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 8PM ET$0.27Feb 15, 01:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 8PM ET$1.00Feb 15, 01:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 8PM ET$1.00Feb 15, 01:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 8PM ET$1.00Feb 15, 01:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 8PM ET$5.00Feb 15, 01:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET$1.00Feb 15, 01:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET$2.00Feb 15, 01:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET$2.00Feb 15, 01:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET$5.00Feb 15, 01:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 7PM ET$1.00Feb 15, 00:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 7PM ET$1.00Feb 15, 00:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 7PM ET$2.00Feb 15, 00:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 7PM ET$2.00Feb 15, 00:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 7PM ET$5.00Feb 15, 00:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET$3.00Feb 15, 00:29 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 12PM ET$17.86Feb 15, 00:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 12PM ET$5.00Feb 14, 17:25 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$23.60Feb 14, 17:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$3.00Feb 14, 17:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $3.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 14, 15:42 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 15, 02:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".