Powerless-Fellow
0x256754f5ab86d1c897a6d9f6c0b6d764949f93fe
Wallet digest
Activity score
45/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-5.6K
Realised
$3.16
Win rate
38%
16 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET
15550 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-139.95
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET
2000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET
928 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-0.93
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET
645 shares @ 12.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-81.75
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET
625 shares @ 6.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-38.89
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 7?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 6PM ET
416 shares @ 45.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-189.53
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 3PM ET
378 shares @ 39.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-149.23
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET
373 shares @ 41.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-154.10
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET$143.61Apr 16, 05:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 16, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET$1.00Apr 16, 05:10 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET$0.00Apr 16, 05:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET$134.97Apr 16, 04:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET$10.00Apr 16, 04:46 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET$0.00Apr 16, 04:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET$114.44Apr 16, 04:37 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET$114.52Apr 16, 04:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET$112.46Apr 16, 04:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 3PM ET$156.03Apr 15, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET$10.38Apr 15, 18:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET$10.00Apr 15, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET$30.00Apr 15, 18:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET$1.11Apr 15, 18:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET$20.00Apr 15, 18:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET$100.00Apr 15, 18:46 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET$4.50Apr 15, 18:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET$100.00Apr 15, 18:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET$1.00Apr 15, 18:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET$5.00Apr 15, 18:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
38/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
38% win rate over 16 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 44/100.
16 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $47.78
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 15, 16:49 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 16, 05:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 16 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.