Flickering-Flute
0x257414362491200e92388b37c8b8f1c0b6f59189
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
65
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-3.0K
Realised
$89.63
Win rate
88%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 65- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
21677 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-260.12
- NO
No change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting?
14342 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2025$0.00
$-200.79
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?
10770 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-414.79
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2025 meeting?
7996 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2025$0.00
$-295.87
- YES
Will the government shutdown last 60 days or more?
4018 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-80.99
- YES
Will Elon tweet 650-699 times Feb 21-28?
839 shares @ 14.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2025$0.00
$-124.76
- YES
Will Kanye launch a coin by March 7?
811 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2025$0.00
$-81.10
- NEW ZEALAND
T20 World Cup: India vs New Zealand
667 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- NO
US government shutdown Saturday?
596 shares @ 18.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-110.98
- YES
Will Elon tweet 650-699 times Feb 28 - March 7?
590 shares @ 20.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2025$0.00
$-119.40
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?$60.00Mar 13, 17:33 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET$19.69Mar 8, 09:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET$9.60Mar 8, 08:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYT20 World Cup: India vs New Zealand$200.00Mar 8, 08:44 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET$29.82Mar 2, 13:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET$3.00Mar 2, 13:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET$10.00Mar 2, 13:23 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET$13.32Mar 2, 13:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET$10.00Mar 2, 13:07 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET$19.50Mar 2, 13:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET$10.00Mar 2, 12:52 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET$19.79Mar 2, 11:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET$10.00Mar 2, 11:15 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET$19.13Mar 2, 05:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET$10.00Mar 2, 05:30 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET$71.94Mar 2, 01:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET$38.00Mar 2, 01:32 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET$5.74Mar 2, 01:28 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET$5.80Mar 2, 01:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET$20.00Mar 2, 01:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $19.34
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 1, 13:05 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 13, 17:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.