Mammoth-Outline
0x2575301c9cd2d9e502a9d823286795aff7f82743
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
36
Open notional
$19.03
Total PnL
$-24.8K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 36- NO
Will Alibaba have the top AI model on December 31?
1 shares @ 98.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Trump deport less than 250,000?
1 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.01
$0.01
- NO
USDS depeg by December 31?
1 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Cerebras IPO in 2025?
1 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% in 2025?
1 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will CZ appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?
1 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US?
1 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$1.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Gold close under $2,500 at the end of 2025?
1 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Trump meet with Ali Khamenei in 2025?
1 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Donovan Mitchell win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
1 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$1.00
$0.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Dante Moore be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft?$1.00Jan 15, 06:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lance Stroll be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$1.00Jan 4, 09:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Democrats win no elections in Nov?$1.00Dec 26, 07:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kingdom Come: Deliverance II win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?$1.01Dec 26, 07:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donkey Kong Bananza win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?$2.02Dec 26, 07:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CZ appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?$1.00Dec 26, 07:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYUSDS depeg by December 31?$1.00Dec 12, 02:53 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$1.02Dec 12, 02:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Karel Havlíček be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?$1.01Dec 12, 02:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYCerebras IPO in 2025?$1.00Dec 10, 07:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Ali Khamenei in 2025?$1.00Dec 9, 09:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kelly Brook win series 25 of "I'm a Celebrity... Get Me Out of Here!"?$1.00Dec 9, 09:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ana-Maria Ciceală be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$1.01Dec 9, 09:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chainlink dip to $4 in December?$1.00Dec 8, 07:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$1.00Dec 6, 07:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andrew Nembhard lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?$1.00Dec 5, 08:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kelly Brook win series 25 of "I'm a Celebrity... Get Me Out of Here!"?$1.00Dec 4, 03:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donkey Kong Bananza win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?$1.00Dec 3, 03:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Fnatic win the StarLadder Budapest Major 2025?$1.00Dec 3, 03:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rocket Lab reach $108 in November?$1.01Dec 3, 03:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 11, 07:26 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 15, 06:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.