Pushy-Asparagus
0x2578adacd507a6ca780711451719f8365e91862c
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$6.67
Total PnL
$-21.36
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Will Jay-Z be named in newly released Epstein files?
7 shares @ 15.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$6.67
$5.67
- YES
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy before July?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Trump renames Department of Defense by September 30?
109 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Fluminense win the FIFA Club World Cup?
65 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Palmeiras win the FIFA Club World Cup?
25 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the first leader out in 2025?
22 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
21 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Botafogo RJ win the FIFA Club World Cup?
21 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
19 shares @ 12.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-2.34
- YES
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy before August?
14 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$2.34Sep 8, 19:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump renames Department of Defense by September 30?$1.00Sep 5, 22:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump renames Department of Defense by September 30?$1.00Sep 5, 20:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump renames Department of Defense by September 30?$1.00Sep 5, 20:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump renames Department of Defense by September 30?$1.00Sep 5, 20:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump renames Department of Defense by September 30?$1.00Sep 5, 20:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Moon" during his announcement on September 2?$1.00Sep 2, 18:40 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump renames Department of Defense by September 30?$8.22Sep 2, 18:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump renames Department of Defense by September 30?$8.00Sep 2, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYLord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?$1.00Aug 26, 23:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYLisa Cook out as Fed Governor by September 30?$1.00Aug 26, 23:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bill Gates be named in newly released Epstein files?$3.45Aug 26, 13:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kevin Spacey be named in newly released Epstein files?$6.67Aug 26, 13:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a dildo be thrown onto the court at a WNBA game on Friday?$1.69Aug 8, 02:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a dildo be thrown onto the court at a WNBA game on Tuesday?$1.69Aug 8, 02:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a dildo be thrown onto the court at a WNBA game on Tuesday?$1.97Aug 8, 02:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jay-Z be named in newly released Epstein files?$1.00Jul 26, 03:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kevin Spacey be named in newly released Epstein files?$1.00Jul 26, 03:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bill Gates be named in newly released Epstein files?$1.00Jul 26, 03:25 UTC
- TRADESELLNetanyahu out by 2025?$2.22Jul 4, 20:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 69/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $1.97
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 20, 18:12 UTC
- Last active
- Sep 8, 19:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.