Adventurous-Roller
0x257f10e208ffeee2208f13bee7df22a660f6b3b4
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$39.00
Total PnL
$4.41
Realised
$-0.06
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- OLD DOMINION
Old Dominion vs. South Florida
10 shares @ 46.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 17, 2025$10.20
$5.51
- WILD
Wild vs. Penguins
10 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$10.00
$5.00
- NO
Will Doug Polk win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?
5 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$5.43
$0.03
- NO
Will Pope Leo visit Mexico first?
4 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$4.12
$0.02
- NO
Will Paulo Portas win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
3 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$3.40
$0.00
- NO
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on December 31?
3 shares @ 98.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.84
$0.04
- NO
Will HNP win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
2 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$2.01
$0.01
- NO
BOA launches a USD stablecoin in 2025?
1 shares @ 75.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.00
$0.25
- PACERS
Pacers vs. Cavaliers
10 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 22, 2025$0.00
$-1.40
- YES
Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO in 2025?
10 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.79
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYOld Dominion vs. South Florida$4.69Dec 17, 09:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWild vs. Penguins$5.00Nov 21, 08:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWizards vs. Raptors$1.01Nov 21, 08:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYPacers vs. Cavaliers$1.40Nov 21, 08:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill SPD win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?$2.42Nov 21, 08:30 UTC
- REDEEMF1 season canceled or other team wins?$2.46Nov 21, 08:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gianluigi Donnarumma win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?$2.61Nov 21, 08:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alternative win the most seats in the 2025 Moldova parliamentary election?$4.05Nov 21, 08:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Giorgia Meloni be the first leader out in 2025?$4.15Nov 21, 08:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Denk win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?$6.91Nov 21, 08:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Doug Polk win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?$5.40Oct 21, 17:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alternative win the most seats in the 2025 Moldova parliamentary election?$4.00Sep 12, 12:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Denk win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?$6.90Sep 12, 12:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paulo Portas win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$3.40Sep 12, 12:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the U.S. tariff rate on China be greater than 150% on August 15?$2.51Sep 12, 12:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP dip to $1.50 in August?$4.13Sep 12, 12:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $6500 in August?$11.83Sep 12, 12:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $6500 in August?$11.79Aug 21, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP dip to $1.50 in August?$4.10Aug 10, 04:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $4000 in June?$1.51Aug 10, 04:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $3.79
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 20, 18:35 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 17, 09:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.