Motherly-Harvester-Woodshed
0x258a4a22387b1381e33d1252263d53b11cdadca3
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$125.70
Total PnL
$-13.98
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 96-97°F on July 14?
22 shares @ 44.0¢·now 55.5¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$11.93
$2.47
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on July 15?
59 shares @ 15.0¢·now 18.5¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$10.88
$2.06
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 14?
20 shares @ 49.0¢·now 51.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$10.10
$0.40
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on July 14?
30 shares @ 33.0¢·now 33.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$10.00
$0.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 15?
27 shares @ 37.0¢·now 37.5¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$10.00
$0.13
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on July 14?
33 shares @ 26.0¢·now 28.5¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$9.50
$0.83
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 80-81°F on July 14?
49 shares @ 19.0¢·now 18.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$8.78
$-0.49
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on July 14?
28 shares @ 35.0¢·now 29.5¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$8.19
$-1.53
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 37°C on July 14?
24 shares @ 40.0¢·now 33.5¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$7.97
$-1.55
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on July 14?
38 shares @ 25.0¢·now 18.5¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$7.11
$-2.50
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on July 14?$0.90Jul 14, 02:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on July 15?$1.92Jul 14, 02:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on July 14?$0.15Jul 14, 02:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on July 14?$6.78Jul 14, 02:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 78-79°F on July 14?$0.84Jul 14, 01:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 31°C on July 14?$0.15Jul 14, 01:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 98-99°F on July 14?$1.56Jul 14, 01:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 98-99°F on July 14?$1.45Jul 14, 01:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 80-81°F on July 14?$0.72Jul 14, 01:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 80-81°F on July 14?$1.90Jul 14, 01:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 80-81°F on July 14?$1.90Jul 14, 01:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 80-81°F on July 14?$1.90Jul 14, 01:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 80-81°F on July 14?$0.95Jul 14, 01:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 80-81°F on July 14?$1.90Jul 14, 01:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on July 15?$9.09Jul 14, 01:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 31°C on July 14?$3.67Jul 14, 01:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 14?$9.70Jul 14, 01:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on July 14?$0.07Jul 14, 01:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on July 14?$0.33Jul 14, 01:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on July 14?$1.50Jul 14, 01:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 14, 00:21 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 14, 02:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.