Smart-Harald
0x258b0edba01ebc4899f955341c91f4a9ad17c632
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-480.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?
423 shares @ 63.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2025$0.00
$-270.00
- YES
Will Elon cut the budget by at least 5% in 2025?
194 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-60.00
- YES
Will Trump Media invest in Ethereum before July?
128 shares @ 78.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?
100 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMYoon out as president of South Korea before May?$0.00May 11, 20:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $82000 and $80000 on April 4?$0.00May 11, 20:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $90000 and $88000 on April 4?$0.00May 11, 20:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump visit Russia in first 100 days?$0.00May 11, 20:27 UTC
- REDEEMDeepSeek R2 released before May?$18.18May 11, 20:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?$72.46May 11, 20:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYDeepSeek R2 released before May?$10.00Apr 1, 22:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $82000 and $80000 on April 4?$10.00Apr 1, 22:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $90000 and $88000 on April 4?$10.00Apr 1, 22:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYYoon out as president of South Korea before May?$20.00Apr 1, 22:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?$50.00Apr 1, 22:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $120,000 by March 31?$0.00Apr 1, 22:06 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum above $2,300 on March 7?$0.00Apr 1, 22:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the AfD win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?$0.00Apr 1, 22:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump reduce tariffs on Mexico or Canada today?$156.25Apr 1, 22:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump reduce tariffs on Mexico or Canada today?$100.00Mar 5, 22:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum above $2,300 on March 7?$40.00Mar 5, 22:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin hit $90k or $100k first?$0.00Mar 5, 22:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill AfD win the most seats in the next German election?$0.00Mar 5, 22:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump and Elon say "Billion" 10 or more times during their Feb 18 interview?$125.00Mar 5, 22:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $73.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 12, 17:11 UTC
- Last active
- May 11, 20:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".