Useful-Balaclava
0x258dbbbf9deeb7eb2cabc86f363e541143c44fd6
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
152
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.5K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 152- NO
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on March 14?
5560 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-15.36
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on March 14?
5489 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-11.60
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 2°C on March 14?
5032 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-18.38
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on March 14?
4974 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-16.35
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 29°C on March 14?
4858 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-13.56
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on March 14?
2858 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-5.72
- NO
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on March 14?
2277 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-22.11
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 17°C on March 15?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on March 14?
1494 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-5.17
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on March 14?
1111 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-19.98
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 17?$13.40Jun 30, 17:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 29?$13.46Jun 30, 08:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 29?$7.13Jun 25, 12:22 UTC
- TRADESELLGPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?$6.44Jun 25, 12:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYGPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?$7.05Jun 23, 11:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?$7.32Jun 23, 06:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs$1.02Jun 21, 06:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?$3.07Jun 15, 12:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?$200.00Jun 9, 13:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?$95.56Jun 9, 13:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to more than 30 years in prison?$50.77Jun 9, 13:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?$50.65Jun 9, 13:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C or higher on April 28?$7.23Jun 9, 13:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on April 27?$0.05Apr 27, 21:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on April 27?$0.02Apr 27, 21:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on April 27?$0.11Apr 27, 21:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on April 27?$0.83Apr 27, 21:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on April 28?$3.58Apr 27, 20:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?$5.00Apr 27, 20:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on April 29?$5.00Apr 27, 20:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 60/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $289.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 27, 05:55 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 30, 17:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.