Avaricious-Innocence
0x258e0aa587d334277f534a73c41a989ce6416e00
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
2
Open notional
$2.43
Total PnL
$0.43
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine?$1.00Apr 14, 16:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill U.S. National debt surpass $38 trillion in 2025?$1.00Apr 14, 16:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NASA estimate a 5% chance of asteroid hitting Earth?$1.00Mar 13, 18:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill U.S. National debt surpass $38 trillion in 2025?$1.07Jan 6, 15:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Nate Silver correctly call the Presidential Election?$0.00Jan 6, 15:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill NY governor remove Eric Adams from office?$0.00Jan 6, 15:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump launch a coin before the election?$0.00Jan 6, 15:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sonic launch before 2025?$0.14Jan 6, 15:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israeli troops enter Beirut by October 31? $0.18Jan 6, 15:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kamala Harris win Vermont by the largest margin?$0.21Jan 6, 15:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill the UNRWA win the nobel peace prize?$0.30Jan 6, 15:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Virtus.pro win IEM Rio 2024?$0.46Jan 6, 15:36 UTC
- REDEEMMeissner effect confirmed near room temperature?$0.52Jan 6, 15:36 UTC
- REDEEMOpenSea blocks US users in 2024?$0.85Jan 6, 15:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump launch a coin before the election?$2.30Oct 17, 23:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nate Silver correctly call the Presidential Election?$0.13Oct 9, 23:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYMeissner effect confirmed near room temperature?$0.50Oct 9, 23:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NY governor remove Eric Adams from office?$0.02Oct 9, 23:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sonic launch before 2025?$0.14Oct 9, 23:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Virtus.pro win IEM Rio 2024?$0.46Oct 9, 22:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
17 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 17
- Avg trade size
- $1.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 9, 22:26 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 14, 16:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.