Costly-Nest
0x258ecfa016bd45fb51d5f1bb251910517456a42d
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-299.13
Realised
$1.60
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?
142 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-17.00
- COMMANDERS
Commanders vs. Cowboys
116 shares @ 21.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-25.00
- HURRICANES
Hurricanes vs. Stars
106 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-50.64
- HURRICANES
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights
100 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 21, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?
100 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
US strike on Cuba by March 31?
45 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
40 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- NO
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during speech to Israeli Parliament on October 13?
35 shares @ 82.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 13, 2025$0.00
$-28.98
- NO
Will Sora by OpenAI be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 10?
35 shares @ 85.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Another US strike on Venezuela by March 31?
32 shares @ 18.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$0.00Mar 27, 07:45 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$21.62Mar 27, 07:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Cuba by March 31?$5.00Jan 10, 05:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother US strike on Venezuela by March 31?$6.00Jan 10, 05:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?$7.00Jan 10, 05:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$7.00Jan 10, 05:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by January 31?$17.00Jan 10, 05:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$8.00Jan 10, 05:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$8.00Jan 10, 05:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYHurricanes vs. Stars$50.64Oct 25, 19:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYHurricanes vs. Golden Knights$50.00Oct 20, 21:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYCommanders vs. Cowboys$10.00Oct 19, 22:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYCommanders vs. Cowboys$15.00Oct 19, 21:34 UTC
- REDEEMHurricanes vs. Kings$125.16Oct 19, 07:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYHurricanes vs. Kings$25.00Oct 19, 03:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYHurricanes vs. Kings$19.60Oct 18, 23:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYHurricanes vs. Kings$25.00Oct 18, 21:19 UTC
- REDEEMHurricanes vs. Ducks$24.62Oct 18, 21:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYHurricanes vs. Ducks$16.00Oct 17, 01:29 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine Tomahawk missile strike by December 31?$33.60Oct 17, 01:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $14.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 5, 19:16 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 27, 07:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".