Wallet digest

active

Activity score

30/100

Performance measurable

Open positions

Open notional

$0.00

Total PnL

$-4.8K

Realised

$-198.12

Win rate

4 closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 30

YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
16000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025
$0.00
$-80.00
YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
15000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025
$0.00
$-15.00
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET
1216 shares @ 87.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 25, 2025
$0.00
$-1.1K
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET
1062 shares @ 67.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 26, 2025
$0.00
$-716.44
UP
Ethereum Up or Down - September 25, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET
1000 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 26, 2025
$0.00
$-350.00
DOWN
XRP Up or Down - November 23, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET
843 shares @ 73.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 23, 2025
$0.00
$-619.14
UP
Solana Up or Down - November 1, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET
764 shares @ 59.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025
$0.00
$-457.81
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET
646 shares @ 45.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 26, 2025
$0.00
$-296.66
UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 24, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
442 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 24, 2025
$0.00
$-4.42
DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET
272 shares @ 97.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 28, 2025
$0.00
$-264.53

Recent activity

TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - November 24, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$0.57Nov 24, 16:00 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - November 24, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$3.85Nov 24, 16:00 UTC
TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - November 23, 9PM ET$4.09Nov 24, 02:49 UTC
TRADESELLWill Trump say "Gobble" or "Waddle" 10+ times at the Turkey Pardon on Tuesday?$27.89Nov 24, 02:13 UTC
TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Gobble" or "Waddle" 10+ times at the Turkey Pardon on Tuesday?$25.74Nov 24, 02:12 UTC
TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - November 23, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET$6.26Nov 23, 20:06 UTC
TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - November 23, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET$3.05Nov 23, 20:06 UTC
TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - November 23, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET$4.50Nov 23, 20:06 UTC
TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - November 23, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET$74.63Nov 23, 20:06 UTC
TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - November 23, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET$103.50Nov 23, 20:06 UTC
TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - November 23, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET$106.70Nov 23, 20:06 UTC
TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - November 23, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET$248.00Nov 23, 20:06 UTC
TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - November 23, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET$40.50Nov 23, 20:06 UTC
TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - November 23, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET$16.00Nov 23, 20:06 UTC
TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - November 23, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET$16.00Nov 23, 20:06 UTC
TRADESELLXRP Up or Down - November 23, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET$24.18Nov 23, 20:05 UTC
TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - November 23, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET$4.02Nov 23, 20:02 UTC
TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - November 23, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET$35.28Nov 23, 20:02 UTC
TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - November 23, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET$4.92Nov 23, 20:02 UTC
REDEEMXRP Up or Down - November 23, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET$219.32Nov 23, 20:01 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity42 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence13 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry33 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk52 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 49
Avg trade size: $27.98
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Nov 23, 17:55 UTC
Last active: Nov 24, 16:00 UTC
Win rate sample: 4 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 19:38:13 UTC·src:Polymarket Data