0x25aab27f50090940b659f27bdf505ff73e3213e5
0x25aab27f50090940b659f27bdf505ff73e3213e5
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$6.75
Total PnL
$0.75
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?
2 shares @ 44.0¢·now 61.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.39
$0.39
- NO
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
1 shares @ 75.0¢·now 96.5¢·exp Aug 20, 2026$1.29
$0.29
- NO
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?
1 shares @ 76.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Aug 22, 2026$1.24
$0.24
- NO
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $72 Week of August 17 2026?
1 shares @ 78.0¢·now 87.0¢·exp Aug 21, 2026$1.12
$0.12
- NO
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?
1 shares @ 74.0¢·now 74.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- YES
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 Week of August 17 2026?
2 shares @ 47.0¢·now 33.5¢·exp Aug 21, 2026$0.71
$-0.29
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?$1.00Aug 17, 12:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 Week of August 17 2026?$1.02Aug 17, 04:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $72 Week of August 17 2026?$1.01Aug 17, 02:41 UTC
- REDEEMS&P 500 (SPY) closes above $780 on August 14?$0.00Aug 15, 00:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Kamala" during remarks in New York?$0.00Aug 15, 00:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Hottest" during remarks in New York?$1.30Aug 15, 00:41 UTC
- REDEEMSPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 14?$2.70Aug 15, 00:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Kamala" during remarks in New York?$1.01Aug 14, 17:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYSPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 14?$1.03Aug 14, 08:52 UTC
- REDEEMSPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 13?$0.00Aug 14, 01:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPY) closes above $780 on August 14?$1.03Aug 14, 00:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Hottest" during remarks in New York?$1.01Aug 13, 14:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYSPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 13?$1.02Aug 13, 06:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?$1.00Aug 12, 22:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?$1.02Aug 12, 14:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?$1.00Aug 12, 06:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
11 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $1.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 12, 06:22 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 17, 12:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.