Thorny-Legislature
0x25c0120e2d7481a7e8a03b853d3afbf9bbc7dd22
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$144.51
Total PnL
$-584.45
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
141 shares @ 71.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$140.84
$40.85
- YES
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?
11 shares @ 88.5¢·now 32.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.66
$-6.34
- NO
Microphones muted during ABC debate?
27130 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 10, 2024$0.00
$-188.96
- YES
Tulsi Gabbard out by April 30?
1078 shares @ 18.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will Sadegh Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
932 shares @ 5.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Ali Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
662 shares @ 7.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Israel military response against Iran today?
207 shares @ 48.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2024$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
Israel military action against Iran by end of 2024?
150 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-30.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?$10.00Apr 24, 19:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$100.00Apr 20, 14:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYTulsi Gabbard out by April 30?$200.00Apr 4, 13:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$9.33Mar 4, 00:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hassan Rouhani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$70.68Mar 4, 00:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jasmine Crockett lose the 2026 Texas Senate Democratic Primary Election?$84.15Mar 3, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jasmine Crockett lose the 2026 Texas Senate Democratic Primary Election?$100.00Mar 3, 00:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$50.00Mar 1, 19:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ali Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$50.00Mar 1, 19:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sadegh Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$50.00Mar 1, 19:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hassan Rouhani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$50.00Mar 1, 19:36 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$3.1KFeb 28, 22:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$800.00Feb 28, 14:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$500.00Feb 28, 14:26 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$857.30Feb 28, 12:12 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$331.20Jan 16, 08:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?$51.69Jan 16, 08:47 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$80.00Jan 16, 08:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$231.00Jan 10, 23:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$200.00Jan 10, 19:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $253.49
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 25, 11:38 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 24, 19:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".