Delicious-Fencing
0x25c4792f1bddeee920a9bee8e18683806709a2d1
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
37
Open notional
$7.77
Total PnL
$-104.74
Realised
$-2.62
Win rate
9%
22 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 37- YES
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?
23 shares @ 38.0¢·now 34.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$7.77
$-0.91
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET
414 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$0.00
$-8.27
- AUSTRIA
Spread: Spain (-1.5)
40 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-0.20
- YES
Exact Score: England 2 - 1 Argentina?
39 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-0.04
- OVER
Brazil vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U 1.5
31 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-4.02
- YES
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?
29 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.04
- FRANCE
France vs. Spain: Team to Advance
26 shares @ 8.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-2.14
- OVER
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5
25 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-0.03
- GERMANY
Spread: Germany (-1.5)
23 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-3.89
- ALEJANDRO DAVIDOVICH FOKINA
Croatia Open: Alex Molcan vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
23 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.59
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?$8.68Aug 13, 08:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET$0.48Aug 13, 07:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET$0.06Aug 13, 07:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET$6.84Aug 13, 07:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET$0.10Aug 13, 07:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET$0.04Aug 13, 07:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET$0.61Aug 13, 07:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET$0.10Aug 13, 07:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET$0.04Aug 13, 07:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Team Vitality Win the Shortest Game in LEC 2026 Summer Split?$8.14Aug 13, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$1.72Aug 12, 22:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?$6.34Aug 12, 21:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?$8.33Aug 12, 21:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?$7.70Aug 12, 16:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?$8.35Aug 12, 16:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Team Vitality Win the Shortest Game in LEC 2026 Summer Split?$8.35Aug 12, 15:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on August 12?$0.94Aug 12, 06:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on August 12?$0.28Aug 12, 06:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on August 12?$8.90Aug 12, 06:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$2.00Aug 12, 05:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
43/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
9% win rate over 22 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 62/100.
22 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $5.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 10, 17:46 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 13, 08:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 22 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.