Agonizing-Eyelashes
0x25c4e329281f07087e1821e5fa846af41d3d1caa
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$210.00
Total PnL
$-29.84
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will China unban Bitcoin in 2024?
160 shares @ 97.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$160.00
$4.16
- NO
Bitcoin all time high in August?
50 shares @ 97.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2024$50.00
$1.20
- YES
Ethereum all time high in 2024?
190 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2024$0.00
$-30.40
- YES
Will the HBO documentary identify Len Sassaman as Satoshi?
60 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2024$0.00
$-4.80
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYEthereum all time high in 2024?$30.40Dec 11, 01:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China unban Bitcoin in 2024?$155.84Nov 20, 02:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum hit $10k in 2024?$78.32Nov 20, 02:29 UTC
- TRADESELLNo Ethereum all time high in 2024?$16.80Nov 20, 02:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo Ethereum all time high in 2024?$10.80Oct 28, 13:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum hit $10k in 2024?$78.24Oct 20, 15:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the HBO documentary identify Len Sassaman as Satoshi?$4.80Oct 8, 09:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill $ETH hit $2000 or $4000 first?$72.20Oct 8, 09:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill $ETH hit $2000 or $4000 first?$51.30Sep 13, 15:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin all time high in August?$48.80Aug 21, 17:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
10 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 73/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 10
- Avg trade size
- $54.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 21, 17:47 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 11, 01:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.