Nocturnal-Alternative
0x25ceafbe803cfe2dee92641d9e86a85f2804714a
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-13.67
Realised
$-0.34
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
"The Roses" Rotten Tomatoes score is less than 60?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 1, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 50 million views on week 1?
1134 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 265–279 times August 29–September 5?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 5, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will "The Roses" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $5m?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from September 9 to September 16, 2025?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 16, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Andrew Holness be the next Prime Minister of Jamaica after the election?
160 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 3, 2025$0.00
$-0.32
- YES
USDT depeg in 2025?
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1900 and $2000 on May 9?
5 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Meteora FDV above $2B one day after launch?
4 shares @ 69.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYMeteora FDV above $2B one day after launch?$3.00Oct 4, 09:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from September 9 to September 16, 2025?$1.00Sep 9, 05:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Andrew Holness be the next Prime Minister of Jamaica after the election?$0.33Sep 9, 05:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andrew Holness be the next Prime Minister of Jamaica after the election?$1.00Sep 9, 05:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get less than 50 million views on week 1?$2.00Sep 1, 14:49 UTC
- TRADEBUY"The Roses" Rotten Tomatoes score is less than 60?$1.00Sep 1, 14:47 UTC
- TRADEBUY"The Roses" Rotten Tomatoes score is less than 60?$1.00Sep 1, 14:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Roses" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $5m?$1.00Sep 1, 14:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get less than 50 million views on week 1?$1.00Sep 1, 14:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 265–279 times August 29–September 5?$1.00Sep 1, 14:44 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin all time high before 2026?$1.61Sep 1, 14:44 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum all time high before 2026?$4.55Sep 1, 14:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1900 and $2000 on May 9?$1.00May 4, 12:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYUSDT depeg in 2025?$1.00Apr 9, 16:10 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2025 meeting?$0.00Apr 9, 16:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin all time high before 2026?$1.00Mar 18, 11:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum all time high before 2026?$1.00Mar 18, 11:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2025 meeting?$1.00Mar 16, 15:12 UTC
- TRADESELLOpenSea airdrop before April?$0.07Mar 16, 15:12 UTC
- TRADESELLRipple ETF approved by July 31?$0.67Mar 16, 15:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $1.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 13, 11:34 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 4, 09:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".