Imaginary-Bankruptcy
0x25d15c4fd7888a2bc06190be2a541e0971f4c722
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-215.99
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 10 to October 17, 2025?
22000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 17, 2025$0.00
$-22.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $106,000 and $108,000 on November 3?
8167 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2025$0.00
$-43.99
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,800 on October 31?
288 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-75.00
- YES
Will Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
158 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Tesla be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
93 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?
58 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-23.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $106,000 and $108,000 on October 18?
56 shares @ 19.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 18, 2025$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on November 16?
45 shares @ 53.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-24.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?
29 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 21, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?
18 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on December 24?$25.28Dec 29, 15:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on December 24?$25.00Dec 24, 16:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 22?$25.83Dec 24, 16:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 22?$25.00Dec 22, 13:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?$5.00Dec 3, 06:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on December 1?$4.67Dec 3, 06:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on December 1?$4.00Dec 1, 05:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$1.00Dec 1, 05:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$1.72Dec 1, 05:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$2.04Dec 1, 05:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$1.72Nov 27, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$1.00Nov 27, 14:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$1.00Nov 27, 14:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$1.00Nov 27, 14:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$2.00Nov 27, 14:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on November 26?$6.72Nov 27, 14:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on November 26?$5.51Nov 26, 10:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYMonad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?$23.00Nov 23, 06:59 UTC
- TRADESELLMonad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?$2.56Nov 21, 14:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$7.28Nov 21, 14:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $22.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 12, 12:39 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 29, 15:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".