Foolhardy-Highway
0x25f4707c93e4bfdf26cd6c5cc46c5464691cf88e
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$13.98
Total PnL
$1.6K
Realised
$3.6K
Win rate
79%
38 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Adrian Veștea be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
2215 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.18
$-104.54
- YES
Will Cait Conley win the NY-17 Democratic Primary by less than 5%?
50 shares @ 8.0¢·now 1.4¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.68
$-3.33
- YES
Will Claire Valdez win the NY-07 Democratic Primary by 10–15%?
50 shares @ 24.0¢·now 1.4¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.68
$-11.32
- YES
Will Cait Conley win the NY-17 Democratic Primary by 10–15%?
50 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.6¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.30
$-2.55
- YES
Will Brad Lander win the NY-10 Democratic Primary by 10–20%?
50 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.2¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.10
$-7.40
- YES
Will Micah Lasher win the NY-12 Democratic Primary by more than 15%?
50 shares @ 9.5¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.03
$-4.72
- YES
Will Claire Valdez win the NY-07 Democratic Primary by less than 5%?
48 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.02
$-9.48
- YES
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
225 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.00
$-2.37
- NO
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 22, 2026?
217 shares @ 14.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-31.92
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?
150 shares @ 29.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-44.61
Recent activity
- REWARD$49.94Jul 15, 00:00 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$1.28Jul 13, 16:49 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET$5.14Jul 12, 13:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET$1.93Jul 12, 13:46 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$15.27Jul 12, 13:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$2.59Jul 12, 13:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$2.13Jul 12, 13:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$3.72Jul 12, 13:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$3.72Jul 12, 13:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$1.57Jul 12, 13:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET$1.93Jul 12, 13:32 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET$10.06Jul 12, 13:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET$2.29Jul 12, 13:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET$2.24Jul 12, 13:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET$3.91Jul 12, 13:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET$4.01Jul 12, 13:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET$1.52Jul 12, 13:25 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET$10.40Jul 12, 13:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET$4.97Jul 12, 13:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET$3.91Jul 12, 13:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
76/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
79% win rate over 38 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
38 closed markets, 79% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $2.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 12, 12:01 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 15, 00:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 38 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.