These-Fillet
0x25fbe0c606002bee18da24d11c86ed820b4c7cc5
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
53
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-3.3K
Realised
$-78.61
Win rate
0%
52 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 53- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10185 shares @ 6.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-618.63
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?
1757 shares @ 13.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-238.78
- CABO VERDE
Spread: Cabo Verde (-1.5)
1226 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UNDER
France vs. England: O/U 0.5
1053 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2026$0.00
$-40.03
- ENGLAND
Spread: England (-1.5)
973 shares @ 15.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-150.00
- SPAIN
Spread: Spain (-2.5)
872 shares @ 6.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-56.69
- YES
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?
604 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-241.60
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET
545 shares @ 36.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET
512 shares @ 29.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-150.00
- UNDER
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Spain O/U 0.5
500 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-21.20
Recent activity
- REDEEMSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$33.76Jul 19, 22:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Spain (-2.5)$59.34Jul 19, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Spain (-1.5)$103.99Jul 19, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$20.41Jul 19, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. England: O/U 0.5$41.96Jul 18, 18:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: England (-1.5)$156.34Jul 15, 18:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France vs. Spain end in a draw?$20.69Jul 14, 14:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Spain: O/U 2.5$102.52Jul 14, 14:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-07-14?$20.59Jul 14, 14:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?$31.26Jul 11, 14:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?$31.26Jul 11, 14:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win on 2026-07-11?$31.13Jul 11, 14:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win on 2026-07-09?$30.77Jul 9, 14:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France vs. Morocco end in a draw?$30.68Jul 9, 13:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?$20.44Jul 7, 16:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?$30.72Jul 7, 16:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win on 2026-07-06?$102.31Jul 6, 08:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico vs. England end in a draw?$30.60Jul 6, 00:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Norway win on 2026-07-05?$150.00Jul 5, 22:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?$10.22Jul 5, 15:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
59/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 52 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
38 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 33/100.
52 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $38.92
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 26, 21:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 19, 22:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 52 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.