Green-Dirndl
0x25fc201990a3e3f25b1cd41bf2f159218f5fabba
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$29.90
Total PnL
$2.42
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will Russia capture Siversk by December 31?
7 shares @ 67.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$7.46
$2.46
- NO
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
5 shares @ 60.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$4.95
$1.95
- NO
Will Trump visit China by April 30?
5 shares @ 22.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$4.55
$3.55
- YES
Will Russia enter Siversk by November 30?
3 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$3.23
$0.23
- NO
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with India by November 30?
3 shares @ 31.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$3.23
$2.23
- YES
Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by December 31?
3 shares @ 73.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$2.74
$0.74
- NO
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?
3 shares @ 79.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.52
$0.52
- NO
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Mexico by November 30?
1 shares @ 86.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$1.16
$0.16
- YES
Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30?
4 shares @ 24.0¢·now 1.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.07
$-0.93
- NO
Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by November 30?
26 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Kupiansk by March 31?$1.00Dec 24, 06:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by April 30?$1.00Dec 24, 05:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Kupiansk by March 31?$1.48Dec 22, 05:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30?$1.00Dec 22, 05:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by January 31?$1.00Dec 22, 05:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?$0.45Dec 15, 07:23 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia strike on Kyiv municipality by December 5?$0.01Dec 8, 06:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia strike on Kyiv municipality by December 5?$1.00Dec 4, 08:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$1.00Dec 4, 08:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Toretske by December 31?$1.00Dec 1, 11:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?$1.00Dec 1, 10:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?$1.00Dec 1, 10:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31?$1.00Nov 28, 11:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31?$1.00Nov 28, 11:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Novopavlivka by November 30?$1.00Nov 25, 11:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$2.00Nov 25, 11:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?$2.00Nov 25, 11:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?$2.00Nov 25, 11:42 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?$2.14Nov 25, 11:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31?$1.00Nov 20, 08:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $1.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 19, 08:32 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 24, 06:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".