Fussy-Pole
0x2600cb097cecd16607d368e415b6b61ecbc4cad7
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
24
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-417.60
Realised
$0.20
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?
2500 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-35.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?
2338 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-72.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?
1601 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-24.00
- NO
Flying Tulip FDV above $800M one day after launch?
1500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-1.50
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?
852 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-23.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET
600 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?
358 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-18.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?
150 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
- NO
Will Trump say "America" or "American" 50+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?
110 shares @ 13.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET$20.21Feb 25, 01:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET$28.00Feb 25, 01:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET$1.00Feb 25, 01:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET$2.00Feb 25, 01:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET$11.00Feb 25, 01:06 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET$38.53Feb 25, 01:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET$11.00Feb 25, 01:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?$12.00Feb 24, 22:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?$8.00Feb 24, 22:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?$6.00Feb 24, 22:22 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$12.36Feb 24, 21:41 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$17.40Feb 24, 21:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$12.00Feb 24, 21:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$10.00Feb 24, 21:35 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET$6.80Feb 24, 21:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET$8.00Feb 24, 21:31 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$42.76Feb 24, 21:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$20.00Feb 24, 21:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET$6.00Feb 24, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYFlying Tulip FDV above $800M one day after launch?$1.50Feb 24, 21:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $13.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 23, 13:03 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 25, 01:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.