Cruel-Cymbal
0x2601ef834d1f8cbc400690879d583e6cf41be4bd
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
37
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-147.53
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 37- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - January 21, 11AM ET
230 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.15
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on January 21?
213 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-6.41
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 23?
211 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.27
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $2.00 on January 27?
207 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-4.55
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2,800 on January 23?
163 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.30
- NO
Will the price of Solana be above $80 on March 30?
152 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.98
- NO
Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on April 28?
145 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.60
- YES
Will Russell 2000 (RUT) hit 2600 (HIGH) in March?
135 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-4.71
- UP
XRP Up or Down - January 25, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
119 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-3.09
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET
112 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.02
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 23?$1.36Jul 23, 01:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on July 8?$219.99Jul 8, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on July 8?$218.01Jul 8, 02:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on June 1?$2.47May 31, 23:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.40 and $1.50 on May 26?$2.94May 25, 22:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 25?$209.63May 25, 18:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 25?$207.95May 24, 20:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 18?$218.55May 18, 18:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 18?$217.02May 17, 21:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 11?$230.44May 11, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 11?$227.44May 11, 03:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on April 28?$2.80Apr 28, 08:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on April 15?$175.00Apr 28, 08:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $80 on April 14?$189.82Apr 20, 01:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on April 15?$172.20Apr 14, 16:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $80 on April 14?$187.35Apr 14, 01:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,700 and $2,800 on January 29?$0.00Apr 14, 01:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 12?$1.77Apr 11, 16:59 UTC
- REDEEMCZ mindshare all time high by March 31?$182.94Apr 6, 07:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 1?$3.26Mar 31, 22:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 54/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $54.91
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 23, 07:44 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 01:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.