Shy-Gherkin
0x260c68f6c7108d3dac5d1bf42dab5e6b6469a2f5
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-5.49
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will V-Varen Nagasaki win on 2026-03-21?
1 shares @ 76.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.10
- NO
Will CS Cartaginés win on 2026-04-01?
1 shares @ 77.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.09
- UNDER
Melbourne Victory FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC: O/U 4.5
1 shares @ 89.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.10
- UNDER
Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 4.5
1 shares @ 91.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.10
- SC SAGAMIHARA
Spread: Yokohama FC (-1.5)
1 shares @ 99.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.10
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Hezbollah disarm by December 31?$1.20Jun 5, 20:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Social Democratic Party (Faroe Islands) be part of the next Government of Denmark?$1.11Jun 4, 08:12 UTC
- REDEEMAnsem mindshare all time high by March 31?$1.10May 20, 10:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?$1.11May 20, 10:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?$1.12May 20, 10:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on April 1?$1.11Apr 2, 10:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CS Cartaginés win on 2026-04-01?$1.10Apr 2, 09:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Christian Hubicki be voted off Survivor Season 50 this week?$1.10Apr 2, 06:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Genevieve Mushaluk be voted off Survivor Season 50 this week?$1.10Apr 2, 06:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on April 1?$1.10Apr 2, 00:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Genevieve Mushaluk be voted off Survivor Season 50 this week?$1.10Apr 1, 23:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Christian Hubicki be voted off Survivor Season 50 this week?$1.10Apr 1, 22:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnsem mindshare all time high by March 31?$1.10Apr 1, 19:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill London have between 50-60mm of precipitation in March?$1.11Apr 1, 17:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the median home value in the Los Angeles Metro area be between $1,190,000 and $1,195,000 on April 1?$1.12Apr 1, 15:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Seattle have between 6 and 7 inches of precipitation in March?$1.11Apr 1, 11:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the median home value in the Los Angeles Metro area be between $1,190,000 and $1,195,000 on April 1?$1.10Apr 1, 10:20 UTC
- REDEEMUS escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?$1.11Apr 1, 08:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Small Exchange self-certify sports event contracts by March 31, 2026?$1.11Apr 1, 08:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by March 31?$1.11Apr 1, 08:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
24 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 43/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $1.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 30, 20:07 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 20:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.