Feisty-Violence
0x261068e6979b1e09675e134045814afe5d6afdea
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
36
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-125.01
Realised
$-6.33
Win rate
0%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 36- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump dance on May 25, 2026?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
1250 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Will any CEO of a publicly-listed US company attend Trump’s Xi summit?
607 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 80°F or higher on June 7?
551 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
400 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
286 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Tim Cook attend Trump’s Xi summit?
189 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Elon Musk attend Trump’s Xi summit?
127 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Trump weaponization fund blocked by May 31?
56 shares @ 5.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET$3.40Jun 30, 12:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET$3.24Jun 30, 12:39 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET$3.24Jun 30, 12:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET$2.94Jun 30, 12:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Portugal win on 2026-07-02?$2.90Jun 30, 07:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win on 2026-07-02?$3.04Jun 29, 15:00 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$0.47Jun 29, 14:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$1.07Jun 29, 14:54 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET$3.68Jun 29, 14:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET$2.23Jun 29, 14:46 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - June 29, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$2.02Jun 29, 14:46 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$0.01Jun 29, 14:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - June 29, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$2.00Jun 29, 14:44 UTC
- TRADESELLXRP Up or Down - June 29, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET$2.06Jun 29, 14:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - June 29, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET$2.01Jun 29, 14:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$1.04Jun 29, 14:39 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$5.41Jun 29, 14:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$4.11Jun 29, 14:37 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET$9.76Jun 28, 14:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET$4.17Jun 28, 14:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
20/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
37 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $3.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 5, 09:59 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 30, 12:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.