Trusting-Time-Month
0x26139f69d4a17eac146d72caf0f8018f463012bd
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$458.08
Total PnL
$-143.89
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Cerezo Ōsaka win on 2026-08-08?
205 shares @ 47.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 8, 2026$205.15
$108.68
- ULSAN HD FC
Spread: Ulsan HD FC (-1.5)
460 shares @ 16.5¢·now 20.5¢·exp Aug 8, 2026$94.25
$18.19
- YES
Will Ulsan HD FC win on 2026-08-08?
260 shares @ 36.9¢·now 33.5¢·exp Aug 8, 2026$87.06
$-8.95
- HANWHA EAGLES
KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. LG Twins
324 shares @ 50.0¢·now 21.9¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$71.09
$-90.85
- CEREZO ŌSAKA
Spread: Cerezo Ōsaka (-1.5)
407 shares @ 23.4¢·now 0.1¢·exp Aug 8, 2026$0.20
$-95.19
- VISSEL KŌBE
Spread: Vissel Kōbe (-1.5)
320 shares @ 17.8¢·now 0.1¢·exp Aug 8, 2026$0.16
$-56.92
- FC TŌKYŌ
Spread: FC Tōkyō (-1.5)
106 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Aug 8, 2026$0.16
$-18.86
Recent activity
- REDEEMCleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox$0.00Aug 8, 10:16 UTC
- REDEEMCleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox$0.00Aug 8, 10:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Cerezo Ōsaka (-1.5)$100.00Aug 8, 09:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cerezo Ōsaka win on 2026-08-08?$99.99Aug 8, 09:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Vissel Kōbe (-1.5)$60.00Aug 8, 09:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: FC Tōkyō (-1.5)$19.99Aug 8, 09:49 UTC
- TRADESELLNew York Mets vs. Pittsburgh Pirates$98.00Aug 7, 23:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYCleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox$4.00Aug 7, 22:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew York Mets vs. Pittsburgh Pirates$79.99Aug 7, 12:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Ulsan HD FC (-1.5)$79.99Aug 7, 11:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ulsan HD FC win on 2026-08-08?$100.00Aug 7, 11:34 UTC
- REDEEMMinnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royals$0.00Aug 7, 03:56 UTC
- REDEEMMinnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royals$128.51Aug 7, 03:56 UTC
- REDEEMChicago White Sox vs. Boston Red Sox$0.00Aug 7, 03:56 UTC
- REDEEMChicago White Sox vs. Boston Red Sox$0.00Aug 7, 03:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYMinnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royals$60.00Aug 6, 22:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYChicago White Sox vs. Boston Red Sox$79.99Aug 6, 22:58 UTC
- REDEEMSan Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks$0.00Aug 6, 07:24 UTC
- REDEEMSan Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks$205.26Aug 6, 07:24 UTC
- REDEEMWashington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies$0.00Aug 6, 03:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
28 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 68/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $110.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 2, 00:13 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 8, 10:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.