Colorful-Cabin
0x261b8ab9b4aab119c47efde5e28df7fb63fd49f8
Wallet digest
Activity score
92/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
2
Open notional
$51.03
Total PnL
$11.03
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- REWARD$1.43May 25, 00:25 UTC
- REWARD$0.30May 25, 00:20 UTC
- REWARD$0.22May 24, 00:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $30 in May?$26.00May 23, 21:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYKnicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 213.5$14.18May 23, 21:05 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Spurs (-11.5)$0.00May 23, 21:05 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Spurs (-11.5)$0.00May 23, 21:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?$50.05May 23, 21:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?$50.00Apr 21, 22:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Spurs (-11.5)$17.22Apr 21, 22:19 UTC
- REDEEMSenators vs. Panthers$0.00Apr 21, 22:18 UTC
- REDEEMStars vs. Bruins$32.09Apr 21, 22:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?$35.14Apr 21, 22:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYSenators vs. Panthers$15.00Mar 31, 08:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?$35.00Mar 31, 08:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYStars vs. Bruins$15.08Mar 31, 08:48 UTC
- REDEEMNothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategy$0.00Mar 31, 08:39 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?$10.05Mar 31, 08:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?$25.02Mar 31, 08:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?$10.00Feb 21, 13:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
17 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 65/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 17
- Avg trade size
- $31.66
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 4, 00:01 UTC
- Last active
- May 25, 00:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.