Old-Fashioned-Flood
0x261fccd72fc35b965ba962580a1b87a63be02fa4
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$15.00
Total PnL
$-58.9K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- NO
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?
15 shares @ 82.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$15.00
$2.70
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 48-49°F on March 17?
64600 shares @ 71.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-45.9K
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on March 19?
50200 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$0.00
$-200.80
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on April 2?
46500 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 2, 2026$0.00
$-139.50
- NO
Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding on March 31?
45000 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-180.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on April 9?
44664 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-267.90
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on April 3?
22582 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-135.49
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 44-45°F on February 20?
20000 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-800.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on February 19?
19500 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026$0.00
$-9.2K
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on March 18?
11000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$0.00
$-55.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 8?$12.30May 3, 23:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?$1.40May 3, 22:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 7°C or below on April 24?$1.20Apr 24, 06:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 7°C or below on April 24?$0.51Apr 24, 06:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 7°C or below on April 24?$1.20Apr 24, 06:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 7°C or below on April 24?$0.25Apr 24, 06:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 7°C or below on April 24?$0.11Apr 24, 06:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 7°C or below on April 24?$0.16Apr 24, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 7°C or below on April 24?$0.15Apr 24, 05:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 7°C or below on April 24?$0.19Apr 24, 05:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 7°C or below on April 24?$0.18Apr 24, 05:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 7°C or below on April 24?$0.10Apr 24, 04:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 7°C or below on April 24?$0.24Apr 24, 04:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 7°C or below on April 24?$0.13Apr 24, 03:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 7°C or below on April 24?$0.02Apr 24, 03:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 7°C or below on April 24?$0.04Apr 24, 03:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 7°C or below on April 24?$0.03Apr 24, 02:31 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2$7.99Apr 23, 23:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2$7.60Apr 10, 11:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on April 9?$281.91Apr 9, 03:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $17.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 22, 07:30 UTC
- Last active
- May 3, 23:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".