Knowing-Desert
0x26201e9ffacf2929e8c597635f81e9e126f378f5
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$145.20
Total PnL
$-344.80
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?
1022 shares @ 14.7¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$107.31
$-42.69
- YES
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?
2613 shares @ 1.9¢·now 1.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$37.89
$-12.11
- NO
Will Biden finish his term?
1800 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2025$0.00
$-90.00
- YES
Lula out before April?
527 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Russia abandon Syrian naval base before April?
204 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?$50.00Jun 4, 16:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia invade another country in 2026?$150.00May 28, 06:13 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$258.92May 10, 03:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$62.14Feb 13, 16:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYLula out before April?$100.00Dec 21, 08:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia abandon Syrian naval base before April?$100.00Dec 13, 19:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Biden finish his term?$90.00Dec 13, 19:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 6
- Avg trade size
- $92.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 13, 19:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 16:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".