Hot-Federation
0x2624d6d4e8a2a01dc26d9a022b693921c268699c
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-46.74
Realised
$-0.06
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 10AM ET
3350 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-3.35
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET
1234 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-6.04
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET
1143 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
532 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-5.72
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET
135 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-5.29
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET
125 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Epstein" during the 2026 State of the Union address?
84 shares @ 11.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-9.54
- YES
Khamenei seen in public by March 3?
26 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Leonardo Amor win Melodi Grand Prix 2026?
15 shares @ 6.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Mileo win Melodi Grand Prix 2026?
15 shares @ 6.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$0.00Mar 16, 11:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$0.00Mar 16, 11:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sentimental Value win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$0.00Mar 16, 11:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sentimental Value win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$0.00Mar 16, 11:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Marty Supreme win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$0.00Mar 16, 11:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bugonia win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$0.00Mar 16, 11:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Frankenstein win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$0.00Mar 16, 11:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill F1 win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$0.00Mar 16, 11:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill The Secret Agent win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$0.00Mar 16, 11:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Train Dreams win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$0.00Mar 16, 11:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET$1.79Mar 10, 16:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.22Mar 10, 16:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.00Mar 6, 15:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.00Mar 6, 15:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marty Supreme win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.00Mar 6, 15:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sentimental Value win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.00Mar 6, 15:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Train Dreams win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.00Mar 6, 15:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Secret Agent win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.00Mar 6, 15:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill F1 win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.00Mar 6, 15:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bugonia win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.00Mar 6, 15:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $1.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 4, 15:51 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 16, 11:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".