Innocent-Cowboy
0x263f889a223ebc6c60724c6f516764bed45f9bb0
Wallet digest
Activity score
96/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$60.80
Total PnL
$15.86
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
56 shares @ 8.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$56.30
$51.30
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET
2 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$2.17
$0.17
- YES
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
1 shares @ 76.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$1.32
$0.32
- NO
Trump out as President by March 31?
1 shares @ 98.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.02
$0.02
- NO
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
2510 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?
257 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by February 28?
108 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 1, 2026?
71 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will NVIDIA reach $280 in March?
51 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET$3.00Mar 16, 12:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Mindfreak vs Arcade Esports (BO3) - ANZC Locals Brisbane: Group A$2.00Mar 16, 12:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Duke win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$3.00Mar 16, 12:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by March 31?$1.00Mar 10, 22:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.00Mar 10, 22:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET$3.00Mar 9, 12:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET$2.00Mar 6, 14:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$5.00Mar 3, 17:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?$1.00Mar 3, 12:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02?$1.00Mar 2, 18:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?$1.00Mar 2, 18:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. forces seize another oil tanker by March 7?$3.00Mar 2, 18:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET$1.00Mar 2, 18:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA reach $280 in March?$1.00Mar 1, 15:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by March 2?$1.00Mar 1, 14:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by February 28?$1.00Mar 1, 14:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$5.00Mar 1, 13:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran on March 1, 2026?$5.00Feb 28, 14:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$5.00Feb 28, 13:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $2.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 28, 13:54 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 16, 12:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".