Thin-Leadership
0x2644eac9615d68fe01e198561f17e2a54989daec
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
11
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.7K
Realised
$19.41
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Yoon arrested by July 15?
2558 shares @ 13.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2025$0.00
$-338.20
- NO
Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with China before July?
1945 shares @ 22.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-434.74
- NO
US-China trade deal before June?
1088 shares @ 45.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
- NO
Will Elon Musk create a new political party in 2025?
250 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-150.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
240 shares @ 8.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Hottest Country" during events with South Korean president on August 25?
166 shares @ 60.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 25, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
Will Elon Musk create a new political party before August?
149 shares @ 67.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Biden" 5+ times during events with South Korean president on August 25?
53 shares @ 76.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 25, 2025$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Semiconductor" or "Chip" during events with South Korean president on August 25?
47 shares @ 85.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 25, 2025$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 175–199 times May 9–16?
20 shares @ 47.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2025$0.00
$-9.43
Recent activity
- TRADESELLKweon Seong-dong in jail by October 31?$32.57Sep 9, 01:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYKweon Seong-dong in jail by October 31?$32.57Sep 3, 17:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$20.00Sep 1, 07:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast raise $40M for clean water by August 31?$52.57Sep 1, 07:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast raise $40M for clean water by August 31?$41.00Aug 31, 07:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast raise $40M for clean water by August 31?$541.52Aug 31, 06:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast raise $40M for clean water by August 31?$499.13Aug 31, 06:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast raise $40M for clean water by August 31?$50.00Aug 27, 05:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast raise $40M for clean water by August 31?$549.34Aug 26, 07:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast raise $40M for clean water by August 31?$539.87Aug 26, 00:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Japan" during events with South Korean president on August 25?$85.34Aug 25, 17:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Semiconductor" or "Chip" during events with South Korean president on August 25?$80.71Aug 25, 17:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Samsung" or "Hyundai" during events with South Korean president on August 25?$107.02Aug 25, 17:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Kim Jong Un" during events with South Korean president on August 25?$266.80Aug 25, 17:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Kim Jong Un" during events with South Korean president on August 25?$52.23Aug 25, 06:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Semiconductor" or "Chip" during events with South Korean president on August 25?$20.00Aug 25, 06:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Samsung" or "Hyundai" during events with South Korean president on August 25?$40.00Aug 25, 06:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Biden" 5+ times during events with South Korean president on August 25?$40.00Aug 25, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Hottest Country" during events with South Korean president on August 25?$100.00Aug 25, 06:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Kim Jong Un" during events with South Korean president on August 25?$100.00Aug 25, 06:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $452.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 20:27 UTC
- Last active
- Sep 9, 01:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".