Original-Terracotta
0x26463a4d8747105bbd03543b67ff59fd874ad4c2
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
17
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-202.41
Realised
$5.20
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
1200 shares @ 7.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-91.75
- YES
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
250 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Hikaru Nakamura win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?
200 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?
190 shares @ 30.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-57.30
- YES
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Singapore Grand Prix pole?
80 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 5, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?
73 shares @ 13.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-9.91
- YES
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Singapore Grand Prix pole?
70 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 5, 2025$0.00
$-2.60
- YES
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 United States Grand Prix?
50 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 19, 2025$0.00
$-2.30
- YES
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 United States Grand Prix pole?
50 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 19, 2025$0.00
$-0.50
- YES
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?
40 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-5.20
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Hikaru Nakamura win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?$5.40Feb 7, 22:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hikaru Nakamura win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?$0.60Feb 7, 22:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hikaru Nakamura win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?$12.70Feb 7, 17:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hikaru Nakamura win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?$0.65Feb 7, 16:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hikaru Nakamura win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?$0.65Feb 7, 16:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Denis Lazavik win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?$0.74Feb 7, 14:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?$1.30Jan 27, 23:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?$20.00Jan 27, 23:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?$18.02Jan 25, 00:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$9.40Dec 7, 14:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$0.41Dec 7, 14:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$0.05Dec 7, 14:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$0.50Dec 7, 14:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$3.21Dec 7, 14:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$5.42Dec 7, 14:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$9.60Dec 7, 14:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$8.80Dec 7, 14:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$3.73Dec 7, 14:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$5.62Dec 7, 14:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$45.00Dec 7, 12:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $11.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 5, 12:44 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 7, 22:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.