Authentic-Surprise
0x26493cd2cdd8d2ae0e04e43274097e1477d5a388
Wallet digest
Activity score
33/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
19
Open notional
$9.42
Total PnL
$-994.84
Realised
$-0.45
Win rate
20%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- NO
Will Coinbase’s NFT marketplace launch before 2022?
5 shares @ 0.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2021$5.00
$5.00
- YES
Will Ukraine become a European Union candidate country by July 31st?
2 shares @ 0.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2022$1.98
$1.98
- YES
Will Celsius announce bankruptcy by July 13?
1 shares @ 21.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2022$1.39
$1.09
- YES
Will ‘Top Gun: Maverick’ gross $100 million or more on the 4-day Memorial Weekend domestically?
1 shares @ 0.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2022$1.05
$1.05
- YES
Will ConstitutionDAO win the Sotheby’s auction for the United States Constitution?
4797 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2021$0.00
$0.00
- MORE
World Chess Championship 2021: Will there be more or less than 12 draws?
1977 shares @ 50.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 14, 2021$0.00
$-998.99
- NO
Will the United States report a record high 7-day COVID-19 case average before January 1, 2022?
1029 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 8, 2022$0.00
$0.00
- YES
Will Joe Biden's disapproval rating be 49.0% or higher on September 27?
945 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 28, 2021$0.00
$0.00
- NO
Will 'House of Gucci' get 86% or higher Audience Score on Rotten Tomatoes?
541 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 27, 2021$0.00
$-0.00
- SHIBA INU
Which cryptocurrency will have higher market cap on November 4th: $DOGE or $SHIB?
181 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2021$0.00
$0.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the floor price of CryptoPunks be above 85 ETH on December 16, 2021?$0.00Oct 8, 17:48 UTC
- MERGEWill Russia use a nuclear weapon before 2023?$0.28Oct 8, 17:40 UTC
- MERGEWill Ripple ($XRP) or Cardano ($ADA) have a higher market cap on March 1st, 2022?$0.13Jan 16, 18:02 UTC
- MERGE(OLD MARKET - See new market) Will Donald Trump be the 2024 Republican presidential nominee?$0.02Dec 30, 20:21 UTC
- MERGE(OLD MARKET - See new market) Will Donald Trump be the 2024 Republican presidential nominee?$0.06Dec 30, 20:16 UTC
- MERGEWorld Chess Championship 2021: Will there be more or less than 12 draws?$0.05Dec 2, 16:04 UTC
- MERGEWorld Chess Championship 2021: Will there be more or less than 12 draws?$1.02Dec 1, 18:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill a picture surface of Kim Kardashian and Pete Davidson kissing before November 30th, 2021?$0.00Nov 30, 15:54 UTC
- REDEEM(In-game Trading) Will the Yankees or Red Sox win the AL Wild Card game on October 5th?$0.00Nov 30, 15:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill a replacement for Jerome Powell as the Fed's chairman be announced by Noon ET, November 29, 2021?$0.00Nov 30, 15:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Joe Biden's disapproval rating be 51.0% or higher at the end of October 31?$0.00Nov 30, 15:26 UTC
- MERGEWorld Chess Championship 2021: Will there be more or less than 12 draws?$0.10Nov 30, 15:08 UTC
- MERGEWorld Chess Championship 2021: Will there be more or less than 12 draws?$0.17Nov 30, 15:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $5000 by November 17th?$0.00Nov 30, 14:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the FDA approve any COVID-19 vaccination for children under 12 by November 1?$0.26Nov 30, 14:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill $ENS (Ethereum Name Service) be above $50 on November 25?$0.92Nov 29, 15:28 UTC
- MERGEWorld Chess Championship 2021: Will there be more or less than 12 draws?$0.22Nov 29, 14:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill 'House of Gucci' get 86% or higher Audience Score on Rotten Tomatoes?$0.00Nov 29, 14:51 UTC
- REDEEMNBA: Will the Pacers beat the Raptors by more than 4.5 points in their November 26th matchup?$0.00Nov 29, 14:49 UTC
- MERGEWill a picture surface of Kim Kardashian and Pete Davidson kissing before November 30th, 2021?$3.17Nov 26, 19:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 5, 20:58 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 8, 17:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".