0x26493cd2cdd8d2ae0e04e43274097e1477d5a388
0x26493cd2cdd8d2ae0e04e43274097e1477d5a388
Wallet digest
Activity score
33/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
19
Open notional
$9.42
Total PnL
$-994.84
Realised
$-0.45
Win rate
20%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- NO
Will Coinbase’s NFT marketplace launch before 2022?
5 shares @ 0.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2021$5.00
$5.00
- YES
Will Ukraine become a European Union candidate country by July 31st?
2 shares @ 0.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2022$1.98
$1.98
- YES
Will Celsius announce bankruptcy by July 13?
1 shares @ 21.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2022$1.39
$1.09
- YES
Will ‘Top Gun: Maverick’ gross $100 million or more on the 4-day Memorial Weekend domestically?
1 shares @ 0.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2022$1.05
$1.05
- YES
Will ConstitutionDAO win the Sotheby’s auction for the United States Constitution?
4797 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2021$0.00
$0.00
- MORE
World Chess Championship 2021: Will there be more or less than 12 draws?
1977 shares @ 50.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 14, 2021$0.00
$-998.99
- NO
Will the United States report a record high 7-day COVID-19 case average before January 1, 2022?
1029 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 8, 2022$0.00
$0.00
- YES
Will Joe Biden's disapproval rating be 49.0% or higher on September 27?
945 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 28, 2021$0.00
$0.00
- NO
Will 'House of Gucci' get 86% or higher Audience Score on Rotten Tomatoes?
541 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 27, 2021$0.00
$-0.00
- SHIBA INU
Which cryptocurrency will have higher market cap on November 4th: $DOGE or $SHIB?
181 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2021$0.00
$0.00
Recent activity
No activity on record.
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
19/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
20% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- —
- Last active
- —
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.