Silent-Electricity
0x264a58fd7e1a6d630431a08709bf626c229f7c9c
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
6
Open notional
$56.97
Total PnL
$-8.97
Realised
$-0.82
Win rate
17%
6 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election by 9% or more?
21 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$21.00
$1.05
- NO
Will Rio Ave FC win on 2026-05-11?
15 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$15.00
$0.90
- NO
Will PEC Zwolle win on 2026-04-23?
11 shares @ 72.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$10.97
$3.06
- NO
Northern Ireland leading at halftime?
10 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$10.00
$0.50
- NO
Will Recoleta FC win on 2026-05-26?
15 shares @ 91.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-13.65
- YES
Will Tyloo win Blast Open Rotterdam 2026?
1 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYNorthern Ireland leading at halftime?$9.51Jun 8, 01:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election by 9% or more?$19.99Jun 2, 07:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Recoleta FC win on 2026-05-26?$13.69May 26, 05:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rio Ave FC win on 2026-05-11?$14.13May 11, 12:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PEC Zwolle win on 2026-04-23?$10.12Apr 23, 15:21 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: FC Porto (-1.5)$11.00Mar 9, 14:20 UTC
- REDEEMCeltics vs. Cavaliers: 1H Moneyline$0.00Mar 9, 14:20 UTC
- REDEEMZuffa Boxing 4: Salas vs. Saracho (Welterweight, Main)$205.00Mar 9, 14:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: FC Porto (-1.5)$10.34Mar 8, 15:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYZuffa Boxing 4: Salas vs. Saracho (Welterweight, Main)$38.76Mar 8, 15:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYZuffa Boxing 4: Salas vs. Saracho (Welterweight, Main)$100.64Mar 8, 15:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYCeltics vs. Cavaliers: 1H Moneyline$53.55Mar 8, 14:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Maryam Rajavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$44.69Mar 8, 13:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Maryam Rajavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$6.73Mar 8, 13:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Maryam Rajavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$62.24Mar 8, 13:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill January be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?$0.98Mar 8, 13:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill January be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?$788.90Mar 8, 13:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill January be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?$81.34Mar 8, 13:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill January be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?$3.96Mar 8, 13:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill January be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?$877.03Mar 8, 13:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
15/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
17% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 68/100.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $239.18
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 7, 19:24 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 8, 01:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.