Lucky-Ceremony
0x2652dd1140c3b9e69c8852264cf8dbe727672a1d
Wallet digest
Activity score
32/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.7M
Realised
$521.01
Win rate
41%
29 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-31?
109776 shares @ 39.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-43.4K
- YES
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-17?
101832 shares @ 50.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-51.5K
- NO
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-01-03?
77213 shares @ 56.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2026$0.00
$-43.7K
- NO
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-07?
63094 shares @ 92.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$0.00
$-58.1K
- NO
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-01-30?
60010 shares @ 29.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-17.8K
- YES
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-01-17?
60000 shares @ 20.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-12.1K
- YES
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-01-17?
60000 shares @ 14.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-8.6K
- NO
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-01-24?
55359 shares @ 56.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026$0.00
$-31.4K
- NO
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-31?
51731 shares @ 49.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-25.5K
- NO
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-25?
50732 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-26.9K
Recent activity
- REFERRAL_REWARD$211.07Jul 7, 00:51 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$181.35Jul 6, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$146.84Jul 5, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$144.41Jul 4, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$136.26Jul 3, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$207.51Jul 2, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$240.31Jul 1, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$178.27Jun 30, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$93.38Jun 29, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$129.84Jun 28, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$105.92Jun 27, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$193.28Jun 26, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$230.69Jun 25, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$234.04Jun 24, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$164.25Jun 23, 14:57 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$171.91Jun 22, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$183.49Jun 21, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$129.75Jun 20, 00:37 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$138.78Jun 19, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$129.65Jun 18, 00:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
65/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
41% win rate over 29 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
29 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 19, 00:35 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 7, 00:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 29 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.