Pessimistic-Submitter
0x265e6a588d46caf7795b1f713491adf8e4a2548b
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$65.54
Total PnL
$-19.81
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of June 1 2026?
66 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$65.54
$-0.46
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on May 23?
880 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 7?
667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on June 4?
667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on April 13?
475 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from January 22 to January 24, 2026?
345 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on February 2?
300 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.20
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $118,000 on October 18?
253 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
TikTok sale announced by October 31?
100 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-4.20
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?
50 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 14, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seattle be 76°F or higher on June 4?$10.01Jun 5, 08:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of June 1 2026?$66.01Jun 4, 13:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on June 4?$2.10Jun 4, 13:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be 76°F or higher on June 4?$10.00Jun 4, 13:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 26?$78.08May 26, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 26?$78.01May 26, 10:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 25?$78.08May 25, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 25?$78.01May 24, 11:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 22?$18.05May 22, 19:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$60.06May 22, 18:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 22?$18.00May 22, 13:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 21?$18.02May 22, 05:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 21?$18.00May 21, 10:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on May 23?$2.14May 21, 10:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$60.00May 21, 10:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on May 10?$80.08May 10, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on May 10?$80.01May 10, 11:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$13.01May 10, 11:25 UTC
- REDEEMIran closes its airspace by May 7?$67.20May 10, 11:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 7?$67.00May 7, 12:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $54.65
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 17, 12:38 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 08:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".