Vigilant-Democracy
0x265f0c77e757dc99ed6447b098fe3fde906332cc
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
89
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-3.1K
Realised
$23.59
Win rate
100%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 89- YES
Will Jim Gavin win the Irish Presidential Election?
13062 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-121.60
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $114,000 and $116,000 on September 21?
3305 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 21, 2025$0.00
$-363.83
- YES
Will Heather Humphreys win by 0–5%?
2525 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 24, 2025$0.00
$-108.99
- YES
Will Heather Humphreys win by 5–10%?
2364 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 24, 2025$0.00
$-43.99
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $114,000 and $116,000 on September 20?
2120 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 20, 2025$0.00
$-487.55
- YES
Will Heather Humphreys win by 15–20%?
1943 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 24, 2025$0.00
$-8.00
- NO
Greta Thunberg arrested by October 15?
1934 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2025$0.00
$-116.20
- YES
Will Heather Humphreys win by 10–15%?
1771 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 24, 2025$0.00
$-7.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET
1487 shares @ 11.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2025$0.00
$-177.49
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 11?
1112 shares @ 9.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 11, 2025$0.00
$-105.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $116,000 and $118,000 on September 21?$0.00Mar 20, 01:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $120,000 and $122,000 on September 21?$0.00Mar 20, 01:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $118,000 and $120,000 on September 21?$0.00Mar 20, 01:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $112,000 and $114,000 on September 21?$0.00Mar 20, 01:46 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 7AM ET$0.00Mar 20, 01:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 4PM ET$2.34Jan 20, 21:10 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 3PM ET$2.35Jan 20, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 3PM ET$1.04Jan 20, 20:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 3PM ET$0.02Jan 20, 20:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Michael Saylor appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?$1.05Jan 20, 20:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on November 2?$222.31Nov 2, 11:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET$1.00Nov 2, 10:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET$1.00Nov 2, 10:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET$1.00Nov 2, 10:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET$1.00Nov 2, 10:32 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$2.22Nov 2, 10:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$1.00Nov 2, 09:15 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET$12.33Nov 1, 21:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET$10.00Nov 1, 21:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET$0.91Nov 1, 21:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $8.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 1, 15:41 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 20, 01:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".