Useful-Conscience
0x26663a4937fdff5ee1e24d1a977ac24d316ba790
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
136
Open notional
$45.24
Total PnL
$-425.10
Realised
$12.87
Win rate
100%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 136- NO
Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
40 shares @ 10.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$40.00
$36.00
- YES
Will Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
4 shares @ 22.5¢·now 37.4¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$1.66
$0.66
- YES
Will Trump say "Hell" 6+ times in Corpus Christi on Friday?
1 shares @ 75.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$1.33
$0.33
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
8 shares @ 13.3¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.86
$-0.14
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
9 shares @ 11.7¢·now 8.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.76
$-0.24
- YES
Will Silver (SI) settle over $110 on the final trading day of June 2026?
9 shares @ 34.0¢·now 2.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.22
$-2.78
- YES
Will Herculano Armando Bequinsa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
7 shares @ 14.9¢·now 2.8¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$0.19
$-0.81
- YES
Will Silver (SI) settle over $140 on the final trading day of June 2026?
10 shares @ 30.4¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.10
$-2.90
- YES
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.09
$-0.91
- YES
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?
2 shares @ 53.5¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.02
$-0.98
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$0.54May 5, 02:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?$0.28May 5, 02:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 10?$1.00Apr 10, 04:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 9?$1.00Apr 9, 04:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $110,000 in April?$3.00Apr 9, 04:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?$1.00Apr 7, 11:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in April?$1.00Apr 7, 11:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $76,000 March 30-April 5?$1.00Apr 2, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April?$1.00Apr 2, 18:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$1.00Apr 1, 12:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$1.00Apr 1, 12:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?$1.00Apr 1, 12:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 27?$1.00Mar 26, 17:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $90,000 in March?$1.00Mar 26, 17:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $82,000 March 23-29?$1.00Mar 26, 17:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $60,000 on March 27?$1.00Mar 26, 15:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $54,000 March 23-29?$1.00Mar 26, 15:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March?$1.00Mar 25, 18:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on March 26?$1.00Mar 25, 15:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 26?$1.00Mar 25, 15:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 12, 05:20 UTC
- Last active
- May 5, 02:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".