Moist-Flock
0x267d1dcbbc9a9a91d184cbaa3a2066a172ed9120
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
194
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-467.55
Realised
$-1.74
Win rate
56%
18 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 194- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET
484 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6PM ET
420 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$0.00
$-25.17
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET
402 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.13
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET
290 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-4.72
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - April 22, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET
189 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.89
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - April 21, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET
188 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-2.81
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - April 21, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET
186 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.86
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET
186 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.86
- UP
XRP Up or Down - April 22, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET
186 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.86
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET
141 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-5.60
Recent activity
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - May 8, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$0.00May 9, 22:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 9, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET$5.35May 9, 22:49 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET$4.26May 9, 22:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET$3.78May 9, 22:39 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET$4.08May 9, 22:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET$3.77May 9, 22:19 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET$0.00May 9, 22:02 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET$2.60May 9, 22:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET$5.34May 9, 21:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET$2.51May 9, 21:58 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET$2.55May 9, 21:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET$2.50May 9, 21:44 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET$2.63May 9, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET$2.51May 9, 21:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 8, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET$1.22May 8, 20:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 8, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$1.55May 8, 20:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$1.55May 8, 20:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$1.33May 8, 20:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 8, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET$1.28May 8, 20:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET$0.05May 7, 21:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
44/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
56% win rate over 18 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
38 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 33/100.
18 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $1.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 7, 01:32 UTC
- Last active
- May 9, 22:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 18 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.