Austere-Fox
0x26815dd6c854f5f910cfc93dfdae649e1a5deb14
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-69.88
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on January 24?
11000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- NO
Will Netflix say "Warner Bros" during earnings call?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-01-24?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will the DHS shutdown last 14 days or more?
530 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Trump say "America" or "American" 25+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?
231 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-11?
42 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?
15 shares @ 65.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET
8 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-4.93
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET
5 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-2.96
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET$3.00Mar 14, 00:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET$5.00Mar 13, 23:31 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET$0.00Mar 13, 23:30 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET$5.21Mar 13, 23:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET$5.00Mar 13, 23:18 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET$5.06Mar 13, 23:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET$5.00Mar 13, 23:01 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET$7.34Mar 13, 22:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET$8.00Mar 13, 22:42 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET$8.02Mar 13, 22:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET$9.00Mar 13, 22:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-11?$20.00Mar 11, 17:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?$10.00Mar 11, 17:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the DHS shutdown last 14 days or more?$5.00Feb 24, 23:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "America" or "American" 25+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?$6.00Feb 24, 23:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum dip to $2,400 in January?$24.00Jan 31, 16:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $2,400 in January?$3.00Jan 26, 18:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-01-24?$5.00Jan 24, 18:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netflix say "Warner Bros" during earnings call?$5.00Jan 24, 18:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on January 24?$11.00Jan 24, 18:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 17
- Avg trade size
- $8.20
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 24, 18:12 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 14, 00:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.