Potable-Bean
0x2683c198e99d9d6ef8f7d65a3967105d5ef0b5bf
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
97
Open notional
$9.7K
Total PnL
$-9.9K
Realised
$-532.78
Win rate
50%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 97- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?
2013 shares @ 65.3¢·now 82.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.7K
$335.63
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
2002 shares @ 56.9¢·now 72.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.4K
$301.47
- NO
Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026?
1495 shares @ 59.8¢·now 73.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.1K
$205.46
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
1000 shares @ 58.0¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$996.50
$416.50
- NO
Will Zcash dip to $100 by December 31, 2026?
945 shares @ 68.1¢·now 92.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$869.53
$226.15
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
1441 shares @ 56.9¢·now 47.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$684.66
$-135.34
- NO
Will Solana dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?
500 shares @ 81.2¢·now 91.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$457.33
$51.33
- NO
Will UNI reach $14.00 by December 31, 2026?
400 shares @ 85.7¢·now 96.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$383.97
$40.97
- NO
Will Zcash dip to $50 by December 31, 2026?
394 shares @ 74.8¢·now 95.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$374.63
$79.69
- YES
Will Zcash reach $700 by December 31, 2026?
867 shares @ 32.4¢·now 36.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$312.27
$31.56
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.55Jul 29, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.56Jul 28, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.56Jul 27, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.57Jul 26, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.57Jul 25, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.58Jul 24, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.58Jul 23, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.57Jul 22, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.57Jul 21, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.56Jul 20, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.56Jul 19, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.56Jul 18, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.57Jul 17, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.56Jul 16, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.53Jul 15, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.52Jul 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.52Jul 13, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.52Jul 12, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zcash reach $700 by December 31, 2026?$2.21Jul 11, 21:07 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.13Jul 11, 00:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
23/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
50% win rate over 8 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
9 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 60/100.
8 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 9
- Avg trade size
- $97.26
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 23, 00:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.