Unfortunate-Anxiety
0x268d5cdc4b6b67add2f58b950bc500c799484820
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$0.50
Total PnL
$-171.69
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$0.50
$-0.50
- NO
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?
8100 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-16.20
- YES
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2026?
2374 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-53.99
- YES
Will "Young Washington" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 22m?
1156 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-27.00
- YES
Will "Young Washington" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 16m?
815 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will Russia capture Kindrativka by April 30?
232 shares @ 5.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-13.00
- YES
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13?
220 shares @ 5.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-13.00
- YES
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-18?
122 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15?
83 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?
8 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELL2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House$6.33Jul 28, 21:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill US crude oil reserves fall to 300M by August 31?$2.02Jul 28, 21:16 UTC
- REDEEMZelenskyy meets with Netanyahu by Thursday?$0.00Jul 28, 20:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYZelenskyy meets with Netanyahu by Thursday?$19.73Jul 28, 18:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYZelenskyy meets with Netanyahu by Thursday?$10.39Jul 28, 18:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYZelenskyy meets with Netanyahu by Thursday?$1.04Jul 28, 18:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?$9.17Jul 28, 18:28 UTC
- TRADESELLAndrii Sybiha appointed as Ukrainian Minister of Foreign Affairs by July 31?$21.67Jul 28, 18:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYAndrii Sybiha appointed as Ukrainian Minister of Foreign Affairs by July 31?$24.00Jul 28, 17:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?$1.00Jul 28, 15:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US crude oil reserves fall to 300M by August 31?$10.49Jul 28, 13:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYAndrii Sybiha appointed as Ukrainian Minister of Foreign Affairs by July 31?$13.00Jul 28, 11:17 UTC
- TRADEBUY2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House$7.28Jul 27, 08:33 UTC
- TRADESELLAndrii Sybiha appointed as Ukrainian Minister of Foreign Affairs by July 31?$3.46Jul 27, 08:20 UTC
- TRADESELLYevhen Khmara appointed as Ukrainian Minister of Defence by July 31?$2.91Jul 27, 08:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?$10.00Jul 25, 09:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by July 31, 2026?$10.90Jul 25, 08:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYYevhen Khmara appointed as Ukrainian Minister of Defence by July 31?$32.00Jul 20, 23:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYAndrii Sybiha appointed as Ukrainian Minister of Foreign Affairs by July 31?$43.00Jul 20, 22:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYAndrii Sybiha appointed as Ukrainian Minister of Foreign Affairs by July 31?$35.00Jul 20, 22:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 74/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $12.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 17, 04:46 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 21:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.