Failing-Pagan
0x2692ef480c8dd150e4cdbd26ecd8f58a375c38e2
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
109
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.7K
Realised
$1.4K
Win rate
70%
30 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 109- YES
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
10000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Trump Leave China on May 16?
8392 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-25.18
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?
6458 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-43.89
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?
4459 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 18 to April 20, 2026?
3000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026$0.00
$-30.35
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026?
3000 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?
2943 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-8.83
- NO
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,300 by end of January?
2240 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-13.44
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?
2097 shares @ 6.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-133.64
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?
2006 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-68.99
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?$26.44May 24, 04:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?$139.38May 24, 01:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?$34.38May 24, 01:10 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$2.26May 23, 00:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$196.57May 22, 18:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$152.22May 22, 13:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$36.50May 22, 13:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$1.00May 22, 13:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$9.25May 22, 13:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$26.00May 22, 13:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$189.00May 22, 13:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$5.80May 22, 13:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$3.29May 22, 13:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$22.48May 22, 13:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$120.00May 22, 12:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$60.70May 22, 12:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$185.97May 22, 12:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$244.39May 22, 08:00 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.02May 22, 00:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$2.73May 21, 17:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $54.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 20, 14:15 UTC
- Last active
- May 24, 04:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 30 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.