Edible-Asymmetry
0x26985c0b14f2288a5bbf3c38b0d04466766afdd1
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$34.61
Total PnL
$-40.72
Realised
$-1.10
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by July 31?
106 shares @ 25.5¢·now 23.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$24.38
$-2.68
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 12?
400 shares @ 1.2¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$8.40
$3.40
- YES
Iran commits not to attack ships in Hormuz by Sunday?
60 shares @ 16.0¢·now 3.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$1.83
$-7.77
- YES
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
450 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-3.15
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 June 1-7?
100 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.30
- YES
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?
50 shares @ 18.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-9.13
- YES
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?
50 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?
50 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 12?$0.29Jul 12, 03:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 12?$0.20Jul 12, 03:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 12?$0.71Jul 12, 03:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 12?$0.08Jul 12, 03:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 12?$0.12Jul 12, 03:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 12?$0.08Jul 12, 03:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 12?$0.16Jul 12, 03:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 12?$0.08Jul 12, 03:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 12?$0.08Jul 12, 03:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 12?$0.44Jul 12, 03:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 12?$0.28Jul 12, 03:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 12?$0.03Jul 12, 01:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 12?$0.07Jul 12, 00:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 12?$1.11Jul 11, 23:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 12?$1.38Jul 11, 23:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.86Jul 11, 22:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.94Jul 11, 22:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win on 2026-07-11?$9.50Jul 11, 22:05 UTC
- TRADESELLIran commits not to attack ships in Hormuz by Sunday?$12.00Jul 11, 15:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS reissues Iran oil sanction relief by July 31?$13.00Jul 11, 14:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 65/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $8.17
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 3, 18:01 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 12, 03:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.